Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000012 0.000014 0.000015
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000016 0.000020
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000031
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000025 0.000037
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000027 0.000044
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030 0.000052
2025-04-27 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000034 0.000064
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000037 0.000076
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000042 0.000091
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000046 0.000107
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000051 0.000127
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000055 0.000149
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000061 0.000178
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000067 0.000215
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000028 0.000071 0.000244
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000029 0.000078 0.000291
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000029 0.000081 0.000325
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000030 0.000089 0.000385
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000032 0.000099 0.000474
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000033 0.000107 0.000562
2025-08-03 0.000001 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000035 0.000118 0.000687
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000013 0.000036 0.000129 0.000822